Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1188.551794 1368.373366 1575.300501 1833.111959 2148.629627 2526.016355 3.017389e+03
2024-12-29 939.831135 1167.763140 1458.410658 1864.434628 2430.712231 3214.522720 4.423295e+03
2025-01-05 784.835721 1017.427427 1331.814447 1801.766061 2512.452850 3594.496251 5.471781e+03
2025-01-12 679.431751 910.166091 1236.626292 1751.995367 2585.645643 3963.853050 6.624882e+03
2025-01-19 598.738314 823.164798 1152.523216 1696.196971 2626.777325 4279.155560 7.794559e+03
2025-01-26 566.507495 800.815844 1158.553667 1778.923848 2911.048032 5096.733425 1.033473e+04
2025-02-02 532.685090 770.896618 1147.077060 1828.043348 3143.934743 5888.558411 1.327294e+04
2025-02-09 503.017058 743.428704 1134.835832 1871.903351 3375.048350 6754.899116 1.699017e+04
2025-02-16 468.556009 704.227727 1097.452088 1862.247013 3493.709840 7406.906213 2.059191e+04
2025-02-23 449.102452 687.563576 1096.400221 1920.944758 3772.973912 8567.332348 2.701169e+04
2025-03-02 429.277521 668.097282 1087.645286 1962.208255 4023.046480 9762.731980 3.502406e+04
2025-03-09 407.034587 642.260734 1064.073926 1968.538300 4190.702731 10799.041779 4.383872e+04
2025-03-16 380.025026 607.291978 1022.661991 1937.193252 4275.321214 11689.592955 5.398555e+04
2025-03-23 362.982329 589.027379 1011.852266 1973.692241 4558.934607 13468.228578 7.447768e+04
2025-03-30 336.943141 551.855113 959.544349 1905.708015 4529.422286 14067.229491 8.807800e+04
2025-04-06 315.034699 520.654359 916.126140 1852.283187 4530.664753 14814.570578 1.061659e+05
2025-04-13 294.645138 490.792921 872.606542 1792.297440 4497.788693 15415.600301 1.258510e+05
2025-04-20 289.474737 489.511855 888.044960 1881.223625 4969.080966 18769.201442 2.054238e+05
2025-04-27 281.424704 481.922253 889.230594 1934.064639 5342.458941 22048.597112 3.258777e+05
2025-05-04 273.431716 473.772529 888.285429 1981.275188 5717.020859 25814.727505 5.388637e+05
2025-05-11 261.795580 457.437641 867.586810 1970.879043 5873.852992 28417.692117 7.998989e+05
2025-05-18 256.071929 452.688656 872.516393 2034.092145 6351.236333 34069.093089 1.611086e+06
2025-05-25 249.397154 445.461896 870.997791 2078.556053 6774.497768 40135.759164 3.492460e+06